Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.022046 0.023672 0.025365 0.027259 0.029324 0.031508 0.033996
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.019361 0.021705 0.024272 0.027301 0.030787 0.034687 0.039397
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.017317 0.020039 0.023135 0.026932 0.031491 0.036816 0.043551
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015696 0.018624 0.022055 0.026399 0.031793 0.038322 0.046903
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014540 0.017624 0.021329 0.026151 0.032318 0.040020 0.050492
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013572 0.016756 0.020670 0.025886 0.032734 0.041529 0.053859
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012613 0.015824 0.019847 0.025322 0.032677 0.042361 0.056318
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012109 0.015431 0.019673 0.025566 0.033667 0.044600 0.060802
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011553 0.014931 0.019317 0.025526 0.034239 0.046271 0.064563
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011182 0.014649 0.019226 0.025823 0.035274 0.048621 0.069441
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010656 0.014126 0.018773 0.025580 0.035510 0.049816 0.072650
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010221 0.013703 0.018433 0.025467 0.035911 0.051253 0.076298
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009734 0.013190 0.017945 0.025121 0.035953 0.052165 0.079210
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009407 0.012886 0.017738 0.025170 0.036585 0.054004 0.083730
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008990 0.012434 0.017293 0.024838 0.036605 0.054878 0.086707
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008559 0.011942 0.016768 0.024353 0.036353 0.055291 0.088917
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008231 0.011587 0.016426 0.024128 0.036492 0.056329 0.092254
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007921 0.011244 0.016087 0.023887 0.036584 0.057284 0.095497
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007559 0.010810 0.015591 0.023374 0.036200 0.057410 0.097243
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007406 0.010684 0.015560 0.023596 0.037037 0.059650 0.103008
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007197 0.010466 0.015376 0.023559 0.037432 0.061139 0.107471
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007074 0.010373 0.015381 0.023830 0.038360 0.063612 0.113992
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006843 0.010105 0.015098 0.023609 0.038423 0.064532 0.117538